Cal Poly
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
278  Nick Woolf JR 32:30
317  Swarnjit Boyal JR 32:36
351  Garrett Migliozzi FR 32:40
368  Devon Grove FR 32:43
493  David Galvez JR 32:58
611  Albert Gamez SR 33:11
612  Luis Morales SR 33:11
763  Peter Cotsirilos FR 33:26
1,622  Dimitri Voytilla JR 34:42
National Rank #65 of 308
West Region Rank #12 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 21.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Woolf Swarnjit Boyal Garrett Migliozzi Devon Grove David Galvez Albert Gamez Luis Morales Peter Cotsirilos Dimitri Voytilla
Stanford Invitational 09/26 969 32:25 33:11 33:02 32:58 32:38 34:01 33:33
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 864 32:42 32:09 32:30 32:38 32:53 33:08 33:11
Big West Conference Championships 10/31 886 32:23 32:38 32:34 32:36 33:39 34:07 32:48 33:19
West Region Championships 11/13 913 32:26 33:53 32:38 32:42 32:37 33:00 34:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 28.0 634 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 11.3 314 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.4 12.8 24.8 42.0 11.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Woolf 0.4% 143.5
Swarnjit Boyal 0.1% 111.5
Garrett Migliozzi 0.1% 138.5
Devon Grove 0.1% 198.5
David Galvez 0.1% 179.5
Albert Gamez 0.1% 199.5
Luis Morales 0.1% 193.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Woolf 51.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4
Swarnjit Boyal 56.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Garrett Migliozzi 60.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Devon Grove 63.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
David Galvez 78.1
Albert Gamez 89.2
Luis Morales 89.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.0% 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 5
6 0.2% 20.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6
7 0.6% 0.6 7
8 1.9% 1.9 8
9 5.4% 5.4 9
10 12.8% 12.8 10
11 24.8% 24.8 11
12 42.0% 42.0 12
13 11.1% 11.1 13
14 0.9% 0.9 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0